TY - JOUR TI - Constructing full adult life-cycles from short panels AU - Levell, Peter AU - Shaw, Jonathan VL - 9 IS - 2 PY - 2016 DA - 2016/08/31 SP - 5-40 C1 - IJM 2016;9(2):5-40 DO - 10.34196/ijm.00134 UR - https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.00134 AB - In this paper we discuss two alternative approaches to constructing complete adult life-cycles using data from an 18-year panel. The first of these is a splicing approach – closely related to imputation – that involves stitching together individuals observed at different ages. The second is a microsimulation approach that uses panel data to estimate transition probabilities between different states at adjacent ages and then simulates a large number of individuals with different initial values. Our aim throughout is to construct life-cycle profiles of employment, earnings and family circumstances that are representative of UK individuals born between 1945 and 1954. On balance, we find the microsimulation approach is to be preferred because it allows us to correct for observable differences across cohorts, and it is more amenable to counterfactual modelling. KW - microsimulation models KW - lifetime income distribution JF - IJM SN - 1747-5864 PB - International Journal of Microsimulation ER -