@article {10.34196/ijm.00220,
article_type = {journal},
title = {Modelling foreign labour inflows using a dynamic microsimulation model of an ageing country - Slovakia},
author = {Štefánik, Miroslav and Miklošovič, Tomáš},
volume = 13,
number = 2,
year = 2020,
month = {aug},
pub_date = {2020-08-31},
pages = {102-113},
citation = {IJM 2020;13(2):102-113},
doi = {10.34196/ijm.00220},
url = {https://doi.org/10.34196/ijm.00220},
abstract = {In this paper, we introduce our approach adopted to project the development of available labour supply. We focus on the situation at the Slovak labour market, where the increased inflow of foreign labour between 2012 and 2019 was driven by the demand for labour arising because of a need for replacing workers leaving the labour market. Using data from the Labour Force Survey, SLAMM simulates the development of domestic labour supply by reproducing the demographic processes, educational attainment, together with decisions on economic activity and employment. The discrepancy between the domestic labour supply and structure of employment expected by a macroeconomic forecast drives the projected inflow of foreign workers. The deficit of labour, driven mainly by the demographic change, is expected to be balanced by labour immigration. Besides its potential in predicting future labour supply, we also show some of the policy-relevant scenarios simulated by SLAMM.},
keywords = {Population ageing, demographic dividend, migration, labour supply, replacement demand for labour},
journal = {IJM},
issn = {1747-5864},
publisher = {International Journal of Microsimulation},
}